Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.034131 0.039774 0.045985 0.053319 0.061731 0.071066 0.082202
2025-08-24 0.025845 0.033233 0.042117 0.053545 0.067810 0.084980 0.107163
2025-08-31 0.019695 0.027633 0.037950 0.052248 0.071441 0.096194 0.130393
2025-09-07 0.016618 0.025164 0.037048 0.054608 0.079687 0.113968 0.164067
2025-09-14 0.013685 0.022228 0.034864 0.054652 0.084529 0.127539 0.193593
2025-09-21 0.011116 0.019278 0.032063 0.053187 0.086745 0.137377 0.218693
2025-09-28 0.009317 0.017167 0.030126 0.052609 0.090009 0.148871 0.247257
2025-10-05 0.008516 0.016553 0.030451 0.055618 0.099191 0.170314 0.293350
2025-10-12 0.007681 0.015714 0.030233 0.057607 0.106819 0.189933 0.338383
2025-10-19 0.006494 0.013997 0.028179 0.056031 0.108023 0.198871 0.366363
2025-10-26 0.005641 0.012771 0.026826 0.055499 0.110928 0.210870 0.400579
2025-11-02 0.004798 0.011407 0.024989 0.053756 0.111311 0.218315 0.427272
2025-11-09 0.004109 0.010263 0.023450 0.052446 0.112470 0.227494 0.458470
2025-11-16 0.003638 0.009522 0.022634 0.052494 0.116298 0.242047 0.501149
2025-11-23 0.003128 0.008587 0.021251 0.051135 0.117071 0.250742 0.533376
2025-11-30 0.002935 0.008396 0.021508 0.053403 0.125715 0.275851 0.600281
2025-12-07 0.002623 0.007837 0.020819 0.053424 0.129481 0.291374 0.649218
2025-12-14 0.002271 0.007099 0.019582 0.051978 0.129792 0.299687 0.683970
2025-12-21 0.002010 0.006563 0.018758 0.051407 0.132009 0.312231 0.728728
2025-12-28 0.001940 0.006563 0.019318 0.054350 0.142800 0.344453 0.818708
2026-01-04 0.001829 0.006422 0.019481 0.056295 0.151401 0.372545 0.901948
2026-01-11 0.001596 0.005850 0.018372 0.054751 0.151236 0.380707 0.941260
2026-01-18 0.001428 0.005448 0.017680 0.054230 0.153572 0.394844 0.995373